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Les sanctions de l’UE reviennent en boomerang : comment le 18e paquet de Bruxelles sur la Russie pourrait coûter des milliards

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La présidente de la Commission européenne, Ursula von der Leyen, a récemment annoncé que le 19e paquet de sanctions de l’Union européenne contre la Russie serait dévoilé début septembre. Cependant, une disposition peu remarquée, enfouie dans le 18e paquet, risque de déclencher un torrent de chaos juridique, d’affaiblir le mur de sanctions de l’Europe et même de détourner l’argent des contribuables européens vers les poches de ceux qui financent la guerre, écrit Valérie Hanoun, avocate au barreau de Paris.

La clause en question interdit la reconnaissance et l’exécution dans l’UE de toute sentence arbitrale en faveur d’entreprises russes contre des États membres, et interdit même aux gouvernements de participer à de telles procédures si des entités sanctionnées sont impliquées.

Il s’agit d’un bouclier destiné à empêcher les entreprises et les oligarques russes sanctionnés de recourir à l’arbitrage international pour récupérer les biens saisis dans le cadre des sanctions de l’Union européenne. Mais dans la pratique, cette mesure pourrait se retourner contre elle, en violant des obligations conventionnelles contraignantes et en ouvrant la porte à des plaintes coûteuses de la part d’investisseurs. Ce serait un cadeau stratégique pour Moscou. Chaque euro perdu en paiements juridiques inutiles est un euro qui aurait pu être dépensé pour soutenir la reconstruction de l’Ukraine, renforcer sa défense ou aider les économies de l’UE à s’adapter aux coûts de l’effort de guerre.

Au fond, la question découle du réseau de traités bilatéraux d’investissement (TBI) qui lient l’UE et la Russie. Il existe plus de 15 pactes de ce type, dont beaucoup ont été hérités de la période soviétique, et dont les signataires sont l’Autriche, la Belgique, l’Allemagne, l’Espagne, le Luxembourg, les Pays-Bas, la France et la Finlande, auxquels se sont ajoutés les pays ayant signé ces traités après 1991. Ces traités protègent les investissements et accordent aux investisseurs le droit à l’arbitrage international en cas de litige.

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En ordonnant aux États membres d’ignorer ces obligations lorsque des investisseurs russes sont impliqués, Bruxelles risque d’enfreindre le principe de la Convention de Vienne selon lequel les traités doivent être honorés – pacta sunt servanda – ainsi que l’exigence de la Convention de New York d’exécuter les sentences arbitrales étrangères, sauf dans des cas étroitement définis.

Pour la Russie, cela crée une ouverture juridique : les entreprises sanctionnées pourraient faire valoir que le refus général de l’UE de reconnaître les sentences équivaut à un déni de justice illégal, ce qui renforcerait leurs arguments en matière d’arbitrage, au lieu de les affaiblir.

Les retombées se font déjà sentir dans les affaires en cours. Prenons par exemple le procès de 5 milliards d’euros intenté par Nordgold contre la France : la société minière, liée à l’oligarque sanctionné Alexei Mordashov, allègue un refus injustifié d’extension d’un permis d’exploitation minière en Guyane française. Enfin, Rosatom réclame 3 milliards d’euros à la Finlande après l’annulation du contrat relatif au projet nucléaire Hanhikivi-1. Rosneft réclame jusqu’à 2 milliards d’euros à l’Allemagne pour la mise sous tutelle de ses filiales. Mikhail Fridman a également déposé une plainte contre le Luxembourg, pour contester le gel de ses avoirs et d’autres mesures restrictives imposées dans le cadre des sanctions de l’UE, le litige étant évalué à plusieurs milliards d’euros. Ces litiges ne sont que l’avant-garde ; les investisseurs russes non sanctionnés pourraient maintenant s’empiler, en faisant valoir que le refus catégorique de l’UE d’honorer les sentences constitue un motif supplémentaire de dommages-intérêts.

Sur le plan juridique, la position de l’UE est contraire à des principes fondamentaux. Elle compromet le caractère exécutoire des accords bilatéraux d’investissement et refuse l’accès à la justice en vertu d’instruments tels que le Pacte international relatif aux droits civils et politiques. En outre, les sanctions de l’UE n’ont pas l’autorité universelle des mesures du Conseil de sécurité des Nations unies, de sorte qu’elles ne peuvent pas justifier légalement des expropriations ou des restrictions des droits des investisseurs.

Un précédent qui fait froid dans le dos souligne le danger : dans l’affaire opposant la Banque Melli et la Banque Saderat au Royaume de Bahreïn, des banques iraniennes ont obtenu une indemnisation de plus de 240 millions de dollars après que Bahreïn eut liquidé leur coentreprise pour s’aligner sur les sanctions de l’UE et des États-Unis. Le tribunal a jugé que les mesures prises par Bahreïn constituaient une expropriation à des fins politiques, soulignant que les sanctions non imposées par les Nations unies n’excusent pas les violations des traités. Si Bahreïn est tenu responsable d’avoir suivi les sanctions occidentales, les États de l’Union européenne ne pourraient pas mieux s’en sortir face aux plaignants russes.

Le coût financier pourrait être astronomique. Les arbitrages couronnés de succès pourraient non seulement permettre de récupérer les investissements et les bénéfices perdus, mais aussi d’imposer des “dommages-intérêts aggravés” pour la position de représailles de l’UE, ce qui pourrait faire grimper les paiements à des centaines de milliards, éclipsant ainsi les budgets des plus petits États membres.

Mais au-delà des euros, l’atteinte à la réputation est profonde. En refusant catégoriquement l’arbitrage, l’UE risque de donner l’impression d’être sélective quant aux cas où l’État de droit s’applique – un discours que la Russie est impatiente de faire passer en Afrique, en Asie et en Amérique latine afin de saper la coalition des sanctions. Cela pourrait nuire à l’attrait de l’Europe en tant que centre d’investissement sûr, dissuadant les capitaux mondiaux à un moment où l’Union en a le plus besoin.

D’un point de vue politique, cette clause est une erreur. Des sanctions efficaces doivent être légales et durables ; celles qui engendrent des réactions juridiques négatives et érodent la crédibilité font le contraire. En tentant de barricader les portes de l’arbitrage contre les Russes, l’UE a peut-être renforcé ses arguments, car les tribunaux voient d’un mauvais œil le refus général d’une procédure régulière sans examen au cas par cas.

Les sanctions sont des instruments de stratégie et non des fins en soi. Elles prospèrent lorsqu’elles renforcent le cadre juridique dont l’Europe se fait la championne, et non lorsqu’elles l’érodent. Si le dix-huitième train de mesures devait déborder, il pourrait ironiquement faire passer des milliards des coffres européens à des entités liées à la Russie par le biais de victoires arbitrales. Pour conserver son avantage moral et stratégique, l’UE doit veiller à ce que sa politique à l’égard de la Russie ne se transforme pas en blessures auto-infligées.

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